… Severe weather and heavy rainfall event expected this afternoon
Severe weather and heavy rainfall are expected across the arklamiss
region this afternoon and tonight. A cold front will cross the
arklamiss region late this afternoon through tonight… as a large and
powerful storm system affects the region. An unseasonably
warm… moist… and unstable airmass will develop ahead of the
front… and will combine with intense winds aloft to support the
development of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the
region this afternoon and continue into tonight ahead of the cold
front. As the front moves across the region tonight… it is expected
to slow down… while scattered severe thunderstorms continue ahead of
the front. One or more lines of severe thunderstorms could also organize
near the front and move eastward across the region overnight tonight.
Widespread severe weather will become possible tonight if these lines
of storms develop.
Tornadoes… including a few strong tornadoes… damaging straight-
line winds of 60 to 80 mph… quarter-size hail… along with very
heavy rainfall will all be possible with the severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and tonight. The potential for flash flooding will
increase tonight along and southeast of the Natchez Trace
Parkway… where several rounds of thunderstorms will be possible.
While severe storms will be possible any time from this afternoon
through tonight… the most likely time for severe storms will be from 2
PM this afternoon until 3 am Saturday morning.
This system has the potential to produce widespread… significant
severe weather and very heavy rainfall across the arklamiss region
this afternoon and tonight. Everyone should continue to monitor the
latest outlooks from the National Weather Service in Jackson. Prepare
a plan of action in case severe weather occurs.
Severe Weather Possible Monday Night
MONDAY…SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING…THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. THE CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS. CLOUDY…WARMER. LOWS AROUND 60.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. THE CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
TUESDAY…SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDY…COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. THE CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
TUESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
Storm Prediction Center
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PART OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING UNTIL 800 PM. THIS WATCH INCLUDES LAMAR, FORREST, MARION AND JONES COUNTIES AMONG OTHERS.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING AND NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS ERN AR AHEAD OF UPPER LOW. WITH CONTINUED HEATING…SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS OVERALL ACTIVITY SPREADS EWD ACROSS THE WATCH. PRIMARY THREA WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND LOCAL DAMAGING WINDS
Storms on Tuesday?
[audio:http://pinebeltpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/Mon-Wx.mp3|titles=Mon Wx]Look for yet another day of sunshine and warm temperatures today. High temperatures will once again rise to near 90 degrees. Tonight’s lows will drop to near 60 with mostly clear skies.
The big change in the forecast comes on Tuesday when we see a 50% chance for showers and T’storms especially into the afternoon. We’ll keep an eye out for the chance for strong storms that day as well. Tuesday’s high’s will be in the mid 80′s. The rain will approach the Pine Belt ahead of a cold front sweeping through the state. The front will bring slight cooler highs in the mid 80′s for Wednesday and Thursday.
Pretty quiet on the weather front for the next couple of days as we expect sunny skies and lower humidity levels. High temperatures will be in the mid 90′s and low temperatures will drop into the upper 60′s. Next chance of rain shows up late Friday afternoon and then we have a chance for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.
WeatherTap.com Radar/Severe Image
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
EASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI…
NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI…
WESTERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLLINS…
NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…
* UNTIL 700 PM CDT
* AT 613 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LONE STAR MOVING SOUTH AT
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PRENTISS…CARSON…MELBA…BUNKER HILL AND SUMRALL
NWS Graphic Sunday Severe Weather Possible
We start out this Sunday with plenty of sunshine. That’s the fuel that has led the National Weather Service to issue a Heat Advisory for today. High temperatures today will be near 100 degrees and the Heat Index will be near 110-115 in most locations in the Pine Belt.
The break in the heat is on the way though. A cold front is slowly sliding through the state from the North and will be responsible for setting off a round of possibly severe thunderstorms later this afternoon. The storms could produced damaging wind gusts as high as 75 mph and frequent cloud to ground lightening. It looks like the rain will hold off until late this afternoon and into the early evening.
As for the upcoming work week, less humidity and temperatures only in the low to mid 90′s with less rain.
Showers and thunderstorms likely…mainly in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be severe. Sunny in the morning…then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. The chance of rain 60 percent. Heat index readings 108 to 112
NWS Graphic for the Upcoming Week
Listen to the forecast here. [audio:http://pinebeltpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/aug-21-pm-forecast.mp3|titles=aug 21 pm forecast]
Let’s jump to the Tropical weather first. TD 6 has formed out in the Atlantic. At this point, it appears the storm will not threaten the U.S. Gulf Coast. In fact, models indicate the storm could very well make the curve and head north and east by the middle of next week and miss the U.S.
Closer to home, a Heat Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service beginning Sunday Morning at 7am and lasting until 7pm. High temperatures Sunday will be in the upper 90′s in most areas during the afternoon with high humidity. This will lead to heat index readings nearing 110 degrees. Any break in tomorrow’s heat will come thanks to thunderstorms expected to arrive ahead of a cold front moving in from the North. That’s the good news…the bad news…some of the storms could become severe during the afternoon with gusty winds, frequent dangerous lightening and heavy downpours.
Severe Storms Possible Sunday
Your Saturday looks to be a typical hot and humid late Summer day for the Pine Belt.
We’ll see the usual pop-up gusty thunderstorms this afternoon. If you get caught under one of these, you could see torrential downpours and gusty winds. Otherwise, temperatures will rise to the mid 90′s and heat index readings will near 100-105 this afternoon.
The main weather story today though is what seems to be on the menu for tomorrow. The National Weather Service has issued a Heat Advisory beginning at 7am tomorrow morning. Heat index readings are expected to rise to near 110 for some areas in the Pine Belt. The oppressive humidity means plenty of moisture will be available for thunderstorm development tomorrow as a slow moving cold front moves in to south Mississippi. The chance for severe storms will stretch from I-20 south down to the coast. The main threat with these storms will be damaging wind gusts and frequent lightning.
With partly to mostly cloudy skies, tomorrow’s high temperatures will be in the upper 90′s.
Muggy and wet is the forecast not just for today but for the entire weekend. I’m not looking for an all day wash out but by afternoon we’ll see a good chance of shower and thunderstorms. Any of those storms can drop quite a bit of rain in a short period of time which can make it a challenge if you’re running errands or heading to your favorite restaurants or shopping establishments.
Full forecast can be listened to below.